Far East Cynic

Liberation Theology………..

It pains me greatly (I’ve been OD’ing on John Adams DVD’s today) to give pause from my narrow commentary on the various and sundry musing’s on my life-to jump back into the fluid waters of political discussion. Ordinarily, I would have waited till the year was farther along, but when one reads cravenly incorrect diatribe, then like Mr. Adams, I must needs give comment. And context.

One of the things I truly despise about the idea that we somehow invaded Iraq for the purpose of “liberating” its 26 million Arab souls-is the exclusivity and selectiveness of that of liberation.  The jury is still out as to whether Iraq has been truly liberated by the way of invasion, or whether America’s occupation has simply served as a way station for that God forsaken nation on its voyage from one failed government to another to yet another. Being supremely confident as I am in the Iraqi people, I quite confident in their ability to yet again hose up any good deal given unto them.

However for arguments sake, lets just suppose that the underpinnings of this “liberation theology” -the idea that a superpower that believes itself to be unique among the nations, and somehow above the mistakes of other,  lesser powers- are sound.  That these beliefs somehow provide it with a God given duty to invade nations willy nilly to “free” them.

That then begs the question then, namely, ‘Why doesn’t every oppressed nation deserve such consideration?”. Why then, given a moral duty to liberate oppressed people-are we at the same time, indifferent places and nations-and  in certain cases, sometimes blatantly and sometimes obliquely, active participants in the oppression of other “less worthy” peoples through dictatorship?

Eh Jules? Maybe you could cut through your slobbering faith in George Bush as a misunderstood leader of history, and answer that one fundamental question. Except of course,  you can’t.

Because you are an idiot sir-and so are those who believe that the invasion of Iraq was somehow the dawning of a Messianic turn from tyranny inside the Middle East. The leader of Iraq may have changed but the dysfunction of the region as whole will continue long after George W. Bush’s name will have been dissected ad nausem by historians. The reason? Because the fundamental causes of that dysfunction remain: Islam and and an economy dependent on outsiders for its basic labor.

We should be clear about one thing-the invasion of Iraq may have made things better for the Iraqis in some small or great degree, but the fact that a bad idea has consequences that are not 100% bad across the board-does not mean that it somehow was the right thing to do. Invading Iraq-from a narrow point of view of furthering the interests of the United States-was the wrong thing for the President of the United States to have sought out in 2002 and 2003.

Jules Crittenden, quoting an article from Mr. Niles Gardiner trots out the same tired shibboleths of the pro war cause:

Widely seen as his biggest foreign policy error, the decision to invade Iraq could ultimately prove to have been a masterstroke. Today the world is witnessing the birth of the first truly democratic state in the Middle East outside of Israel. Over eight million voted in Iraq’s parliamentary elections in 2005, and the region’s first free Muslim society may become a reality. Iraq might not be Turkey, but it is a powerful demonstration that freedom can flourish in the embers of the most brutal and barbaric of dictatorships.

The success of the surge in Iraq will go down in history as a turning point in the war against al-Qaeda. The stunning defeat of the insurgency was a major blow both militarily and psychologically for the terror network. The West’s most feared enemy suffered thousands of losses in Iraq, including many of their most senior commanders, such as Abu Musab al-Zarqawi and Abu Qaswarah. It was the most successful counter-insurgency operation anywhere in the world since the British victory in Malaya in 1960.

The broader war against Islamist terrorism has also been a success. There has not been a single terrorist attack on U.S. soil since 9/11, and for all the global condemnation of pre-emptive strikes, Guantanamo and the use of rendition against terror suspects, the fact remains that Bush’s aggressive strategy actually worked.

That’s the fantasy. Lets look at the reality shall we?

George Bush’s decision to invade Iraq in 2003 took what was essentially a localized infection and metastasized it into the world’s bloodstream. Pakistan and India are poised this evening to go to war with one another. England, France, and Spain have all suffered terrorist attacks on their soil. The United States, while unattacked militarily,  took upon itself the  adjunct cost of spending billions of borrowed dollars on wars of choice abroad, and as a result placed itself in deep economic trouble at home.

Iraq on the other hand, may be less violent than it was two years ago-but it is still violent by any normal definition of the word. At least 4.2 million Iraqis were displaced over 6 years. These included 2.2 million who were displaced within Iraq and some 2 million refugees, mostly in Syria (around 1.4 million) and Jordan (around half a million). 310 American Soldiers are dead this year alone-a 50% drop from last year-but still nothing to be celebrating. Iraqi deaths-in this year of “better security” are 40 times that number well over 10,000. (Source: I-Casualties.org).

And that is in a nation where things are “peaceful” and we are “winning”. A nation that we liberated.  Meanwhile over in Africa, literally millions are suffering under a combination of disease, poverty, corruption, government dictatorships and other transgressions. Africa is the heart of what are called failed states. Look at the world map for 2008 and see where the bulk of failed nations lie:

fsindex2008

Not one of those nations will benefit from a military intervention by the United States. Even when they might be easier to pacify than Iraq turned out to be.  There is something fundamentally unfair about that proposition.

US troop strength in Africa probably only tops 2000. If liberating oppressed people is the reason for starting military conflicts or firing the first shot-then it would seem the US still has a long way to go. And will need a bigger military.

Now be clear-I am not advocating an increase in the number of US troops deployed to Africa. I’m simply stating that the US cannot take the moral high ground and reassure itself that liberating native populations from bad governments is somehow justification for getting thousands of its own citizens killed. People have to liberate themselves. With our assistance perhaps-but any military intervention has to stand on its own merits and be judged by only one criteria. Namely that such action is really one of last resort, all non-violent alternatives have been exhausted, and that once begun the odds of being able to achieve a termination of the conflict that furthers the national interests of the United States have been achieved.

George Bush was and is no legendary liberator of huddled masses. He is an elected politician who made a decision to invade a nation that had not attacked the United States,  for one reason and one reason alone: because he could.  He made a political calculation that the conditions created by 9-11 had given him a window of opportunity to settle a score with Iraq once and for all. In the process he would change the country’s government to one more favorable to the United States. He then backed up that decision by assuming ( incorrectly as it turned out) that he would be able to wrap the whole thing up quickly and that the native population of Iraq was not so screwed up that it would not be able to pick right up where Saddam left off. I personally believe that deep in his heart of hearts, Bush believed that 90% of US forces would be gone from Iraq in by the dawn of 2005. And that the victory in Iraq would be all the momentum he needed to propel him to a landslide victory in 2004. THAT was why Bush decided to invade Iraq when he did-not out of some high minded moral purpose.  Any liberation that occurred was a by-product, not a central aim. Victory only has meaning for the US if it  makes the political equation better for the United States.

Promoting national interest may be the right thing to do-however its not a endeavor wrapped in some sort of moral cloak-nor should it be. Its a dirty, scary business that when improperly resourced and pursued,  gets Americans killed needlessly. That’s the legacy of George Bush in the Middle East-nothing else. I am confident, as the Arab world rises or falls, history will show the actions of the United States in Iraq and the decisions that George Bush made with regard to that nation – actually set back any advancement of peace in the region-not advanced it.

And for that. Bush deserves the scorn of history-not its adoration.

Jules Crittenden is wrong.

  1. Skippy,

    You sound like one of those 1949 State Department wallahs or perhaps the NYT’s man on the ground in the USSR back then. You inflated a giant premise that blames the entire situation in the Middle East (based on American action) on Bush and then inflate the same giant premise reprised in Africa and…..blame Bush. So in the first case he took action and in the latter he didn’t and either way he is equally blameworthy.? You subscribe to a weird logic.

    Saddam launched his first war against Iran iirc and waged a bloody struggle for 8 years before Vincennes ended the war singlehandedly. At some point he also decided a spot of genocide against the Kurds was just the ticket and used WMD to exterminate lots of them. His eye then turned to Kuwait which he overran in a day or so. We started thinking that perhaps we had a problem with him. Did you remember what happened shortly after we deployed troops to the Kingdom? Yes, that’s right, our guys in Khafji were attacked by the Republican Guard in Saudi Arabia. Guess one of the Bush clan was right to deploy troops to the Gulf since otherwise there is no doubt that Iraq with a well blooded combat tested army of conscripts would have eaten the Saudi’s lunch and taken the oil fields and ports along the Gulf coast. Not so sure about Yanbu or Jeddah but for sure Jubail, Ras Tanura, Dammam. So we kicked him out of Saudi Arabia and Kuwait and he next decided to exterminate the marsh arabs. He did that and we spent a decade playing games enforcing the no fly zones north and south and had huge footprints in Saudi Arabia with JTF SWA and a mostly 1.0 CVBG requirement that was gradually upped to a 1.5 and then a 2.0. Full TLAM salvos did nothing to discourage the bastard who boasted of a complete WMD capability and what kind of moron doubted him? After all, there is no question he used WMD against Iranians and against the Kurds. Do you recall the whole oil for food fiasco?

    And then, the U.S is attacked by arabs. It was arabs and the odd Egyptian who inflicted 9/11 and it was arabs most likely who blew up our embassies and it was arabs in Iraq who were sucking up a lot of resources that could be better used if we could just get rid of Saddam and so the decision was made to get rid of Saddam. Good planning by the DoD resulted in the complete obliteration of the Iraqi defenses and left the coalition in charge of, for want of a better word, arabs. There we were smuggly expecting that order would emerge from chaos because that is how it works in almost every other society on earth. Just not with arabs. Then we sent a state department loser of earth shattering stupidity to be our viceroy and he promptly destroyed every single remaining institutional structure left in Iraq and replaced it with nothing at all.

    Well skippy, defeat is what we deal our enemies and we’ve been doing it for 200 years now and this is the very first time that we found that the losers have absolutely no underpinning to their alleged civilization. Once the strong man is removed, chaos is the immediate result and yes, anybody who saw what happened to Iran after Jimmy Carter withdrew support from the Shah would see that this will always be the case with muslim societies. Go back all through US history and look at the countries we tore to pieces and which yet retained all the hallmarks of civilization after we removed the dictator [recent history: Grenada, Panama, Germany, Japan, Italy, France, Mexico (maybe), the South.] Where did civilization collapse behind us after we were through? Haiti but I would argue that there was never anything civilized there and in Iraq. You may pitch Afghanistan but I would counter that it never ever had a strong central government and has always been the demesne of warlords. I watched for many years as the Northern Alliance fought off the taliban and was impressed. The NA didn’t want to rule Afghanistan they just didn’t want the taliban to dictate to them.

    I’m more than a little sick of people laying the entire GWOT at the feet of Bush when Congress voted overwhelmingly to authorize the war.

    And so far as invading Africa to set them poor stupid bastards free, why waste our time, money and young lives on a chimera. Colonials spent 300 hundred years attempting to introduce the idea of civilization in Africa and what we’re left with at the end of it all is Zimbabwe and Sudan and Rwanda and countless other cesspools like Nigeria, Kenya, the Central African Empire, Congo, the other Congo, etc. These losers kill each other not us. The arabs aspired to kill us. That’s why we treat them differently from the losers in Africa.

  2. I’ve no issue with putting blame on Arabs-they are the bottom of the food chain in the world.

    But the problem is, a lot of people knew they could not respond to democracy before we ever set foot in Iraq. The Army in particular had done a lot of work to figure out post war Iraq and was ignored. Your last two paragraphs actually prove my arguement-the blame lies with the Arabs and even we stay 50 years they will still be screwed up until they get rid of Islam and learn to work for themselves.

    My point is that its wrong to cloak our actions in some sort of moral blanket when they were motivated by self interest. If we are going to turn a blind eye to one population over another-we lose the right to call ourselves liberators.

    Also, the GWOT and the Iraq war are two entirely different animals. What would have been the harm in finishing one before starting another? Saddam was not going anywhere. By acting when he did-Bush complicated his own problem.