Far East Cynic

Focusing on the wrong things……..

One reason I have pretty much parted ways with a lot of the mil-blogging community, is it unrelenting tendency to “pile on” on relatively minor issues while refusing to dig deeper on issues of major import to the military community. It has become almost an article of faith, that a milblog is supposed to echo the right wing party line-regardless of the issue.

A good example of this has been the repeated postings by various bloggers  ridiculing Rep Hank Johnson from Georgia for asking whether Guam would “tip over” from the infusion of 9000 additional service personnel in the form of US Marines moved from Okinawa and additional USAF and Navy personnel who will be sent to the island. 

Of course the island of Guam is not going to tip over. But not one-and I do mean not one-of these so called “expert” military bloggers dug a little further and asked the question that a lot of Congressmen should be asking of the psychopath the PACOM commander: “Why did the United States agree to this incredibly rotten deal in the first place? And second, Admiral Willard-why did you, with all of your Pacific expertise, not speak out publicly about the problems with this deal instead of quietly acquiescing to it, to continue your blind ambition to higher office?”

The deal that was signed for US Japan defense re-alignment is a bad one. Its really bad-and it in turn is creating the pre-conditions that have led to the current government of Japan turning to stone about relocating Futenma MCAS. There are, of course a couple of logical alternatives that would probably satisfy everyone-especially given the obscene amount of real estate the USAF controls in Okinawa. But we didn’t. And part of that is because of the other bad deals we agreed to.

Bad deal #1: Moving the FDNF Carrier Air Wing to Iwakuni. Stupid and completely unnecessary. If anything-that should be the unit moved to Guam. The air wing would have a better ability to train-including with live ordnance.

Bad idea#2: Not agreeing to move Marine aircraft to Iwakuni and Kadena. Between those two options all of  the units could have been accounted for and no movement to Guam would probably have been required.

Bad idea#3: Trying to stick the government of Japan with whole bill for the move. You want to know what is at the heart of DPJ’s objections? That’s it.

Now each of these issues is worth a long blog post in discussion. But the issue for me in this post-is that for all of the condescension that comes from the mil-bloggers about one misinformed Congressman ( who may in fact be a lot smarter than anyone is giving him credit for-Guam is not prepared for its upcoming “invasion”), there is no one asking the really important questions.

Why are we doing this to ourselves? And why didn’t the senior leadership of the US government in 2005 and 2006 listen to the valid objections that were voiced by military personnel who actually had to make it work?

Mil–bloggers whine and whine about the current deficit. If they are so concerned about the monetary situation of the government they should definitely be concerned about these additional costs:

1)      When Carrier Air Wing Five moves to Iwakuni-its going to cost you about twice what it used to cost you to move the air wing aboard USS George Washington. It is also going to cost you a lot more fuel dollars because Iwakuni does not have enough training airspace available for  both the Marines and Navy. Add to that the additional costs of running new DODDS schools and a new hospital and intermediate maintenance facility. ( None of which would have been done if they had stayed put in Atsugi).

2)      Guam is not ready to receive 9000 Marines and the family trail that comes along with them. Sure the Japanese are paying 6 billion yen for the initial construction-but the operating costs from then on, come from your tax dollars. Add on to that the added transportation required to get them to Korea if the balloon goes up.

3)      That’s on top of the extra housing etc needed for the Marines and Navy and Air Force personnel that are coming. Don’t forget the need for additional DODDS schools since Guamanian schools suck.

4)      There is still no new base for Marine helo’s. But take it to the bank-Futenma will close. That is going to be a problem.

5)      And finally-as an extra added bonus, there will be repairs required to the Big Navy harbor.

Hear anything about that from mil-bloggers? Nope. And you won’t either-because the author of this idea was not the current occupant of 1600 PA avenue.

  1. Agree with you on Futenma. Closing it is just a matter of time.

    I’ve been thinking about it a lot lately, and I finally began to realize why the DPJ took on the issue when I decided that the American people would never stand for having a base with helicopters and C-130s in the middle of an American city, and yet we expect Japan to be okay with that. It’s as good an example as any of the U.S. treating another country as a junior partner in a bilateral relationship. I don’t think the DPJ is looking to distance itself from the U.S. the way some people fret it will, I think that it’s trying to differentiate itself from the LDP. The LDP was seen as America’s lap dog, the DPJ is just trying to go for a more equal relationship. I hope. Curious as to what you think about that.

  2. I agree for the most part-what people fail to realise is that elsewhere in Japan the bases are not obvious. In Okinawa that is not the case.

    I also think DPJ has issues with wanting to spend its money on Japan-and not seeing itself getting a lot in return from the US. Especially since Kadena could absorb the helo’s-even if the C-130’s had to go north.

  3. Truly humorous, that we got the Japs to pay us to maintain an occupying force after WWII and pay to relocate it. Ditto the SOKORS after whatnot. Now we’re withdrawing. We’re withdrawing east of Japan. 2 ID is down to less than a brigade. III MEF is headed east. Laughing. Asia is going to be a lot safer now the last Imperials are leaving. Chinese Co-Prosperity Sphere. They had a real hero we could all like; Sun Yat Sen. Never did hear of any single Japanese that we or Asia would honor. The Army Corps we had in NATO in Europe, long gone. World’s going to be a safer place…

    Kyle, what city in the US would play host to helos, F18s, C130 etc? Serious question? San Diego has the C130s, helos, FA-18 and oddly enough, few complaints. We do on the other hand launch a new study every 5 years to see if we can’t steal Miramar for our new airport.

    “We don’t anticipate that” Seriously, how cool was that?

  4. Kadena could take all of the helos right now. Very little extra construction required-just more effiecient use of already existing space. C-130’s move to Iwakuni and CVW-5 stays at Iwakuni.

    III MEF is still needed in Japan as long as the OPLAN exists.

  5. Would Singapore be a viable option for significant US military assets?
    or Thailand?

  6. Not for these assets-besides the Sings have a threshold of US military presence beyond which they do not want to go. CLWP is at Sembawang and I think that is about as far as they want to go. They have never expressed a desire to approve homeporting of ships there-even though it would make a great location. The US would not need to build housing-just pay what it takes to subsist on the economy. But the US will never pursue it.

  7. During my stint in the NAV, it was an article of faith expressed by many with an absolutely straight face that someday Diego Garcia would turn turtle.

  8. Hey Kyle M,

    I don’t think you should refer to our host as a racist!

    You racist!